This blog will serve as a medium to document my progress in stock trading. This blog will reflect my personal opinions and will not suffice as a source of stock recommendations. As an OFW my goal is to create an effective and consistent trading system that doesn't require me to monitor the market all the time.
Jan 21, 2019
Post #55: PSEi Golden Cross
The golden cross is a bullish breakout pattern formed from a crossover involving index short-term MA (50) breaking above its long-term MA(200). Golden Cross indicates a bull market on the horizon and is reinforced by high trading volumes.
Is the Golden Cross the sign we have been waiting for? Will the index resume its uptrend and break the 8000 resistance convincingly?
No one knows for sure, so it pays to be always ready no matter what the next few weeks will bring; I have my trading plans in place, whichever direction the market will take. I'm so ready I can't wait!
Good luck to us all my fellow traders.
Jan 8, 2019
Post #54: Short Play $CHP
chart by marketwatch.com |
Price: Php 1.98
Conclusion: Cut loss hit (SOLD)
Latest: January 13, 2019 (10:40 PM)
Price: Php 2.03
Stop: Php 2.00
Update: January 8, 2019 (11:00PM)
Price: Php 2.14 (+7%)
Stop: Php 2.00
Disclaimer: This is only a stock simulation trade. Follow at your own risk. Proper risk management measures should be observed in every trade.
Post #53: Trading simulation ($AEV)
chart by www.marketwatch.com |
Price: P66.60
Stop: P64
Approx +15%
Latest: January 15, 2019
Price: Php 64.80
Stop: Php 60
Latest: January 13, 2019
Price: Php 60.00
Stop: Php 58.00
Update: January 8, 2019, 10:00 PM
Price: Php 57.20 (no change)
Stop: Php 55
Disclaimer: This is only a stock simulation trade. Follow at your own risk. Proper risk management measures should be observed in every trade.
Jan 3, 2019
Post #52: My 2018 results
I had a very disappointing 2018, my entire portfolio suffered a -19% loss. My stock picking only had 33% success rate, picking only 9 winners out of the 27 trades I took last year. Though I managed to keep my risk percentage within my limit, my poor stock picking numbers really hurt my portfolio's entire performance.
I forced some of my trades in a downhill market; and the market taught me a hard lesson. My strategy will not work on a down-trending market, I actually knew that, but still I tried to enter positions I thought are feasible. I knew I should listen to the market, but I still took some risk and I paid for it with my money. A different kind of market needs a different kind of approach, that's my main takeaway from this lesson. I cannot be a momentum trader in a market for swing traders.
This year, 2019, the PSE index started the year ranging between 7400 and 7600; a breakout of the range might show the direction of the market. I like the fact that we seem to be independent of what's going on with the world markets right now. Our market seems to be shaping it's own direction. It is exciting to see where this is heading.
Losing gives us opportunities to learn and evaluate our selves. I will consider my 2018 draw-down as just another lesson learned. Trading for me is a long game, and a year of negative return will not deter me but will instead fire me up to learn more. We all still have our best years ahead of us. Keep grinding , keep learning.
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