Sep 29, 2017

Post #34: SL (Stop Loss) instead of TP (Target Price)

I really don't believe in including a target price on my trading plans. For me it is a very limiting belief. It is like putting a limit on what you can achieve when you can do so much more. As a trader who mostly rely on price action to trade, Iv'e got a few reasons why I don't use a TP (target price), but instead I am more strict on putting a SL(stop loss) in all of my trading plans.

First of all, I believe that no one can predict with certainty where the price of a stock is going. We can only speculate. Therefore, to put a TP on a stock is like predicting that the stock cannot go up much further. In fact, even fundamental analysis can only assign a valuation to a stock but can't predict it with certainty. It is the crowd sentiment that is moving the stock prices, which is highly driven by emotion, which we all know are intangible and can't be measured.

Let your winners run. I like to keep trending stocks running until they ran out of steam. As a position trader, I'm not really looking for quick gains but I'm looking for stock that I can milk. I won't easily sell a 50% gain if I know the possibility of it reaching 100% is probable. I trade not for quick and small gains, I'm after for bigger moves that will significantly affect my portfolio's percentage gain.

To minimize risk using this no TP method, I always put a stop loss (SL) on all my trades. Before I buy a stock, I already have a stop loss. This is even more important to me because my stop loss will determine my position size. (More on this on my later posts). As the price goes up, I move my stop to what I think is the next best support. I trail my stops. I only sell when my stop is hit.

Having no TP but using a SL strictly might not help you sell at the top, but it will always keep you from selling too soon. The trailing stop will help you keep your profits safe. My main goal is to let my winners run, trail my stop as they run up to secure some profits, and sell before the trend reverses. It is simple for me, No TP only SL.

Portfolio update:

Sold my $WPI at P1.22 as I think it is quite lagging and moved my funds to $MAC.

Bought P15.30
Stop: P14

chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com


Current portfolio:

$PGOLD (+8%)
$WLCON (+64%)
$PRMX (+12%)
$MAC (new)
$MEG (+11%)

PS: Let's connect at Twitter.

Sep 27, 2017

Post #33: Be obsessed or be Average

Me and my copy of The Trading code by Jason Cam (2015)


Took the title from a book by Grant Cardone. This book suggests that if you want to be successful in anything, be so obsessed about it, or end up being just an average Joe. You just have to work 10 times more and be 10 times more hungrier than the average guy. I am writing this post as a reminder to myself to restore my focus and determination in getting those winning trades. These past few weeks I got sidetracked and distracted by something else not stock trading related. And guess what happened to my results? Even my virtual portfolio in Investacup suffered a big draw-down. This post is a reminder for myself and hopefully for many others too, that we should focus more on what we love the most, or pay the price for being an average. I'm gonna share here why I think being obsessed is good for us and why we should strive to reach our goals in trading no matter what.

Being obsessed will give us a laser-like focus on our goals. We will be so determined to focus only on what is important to us; our goals and dreams. Any other activities not related to the goal will only distract us, therefore it is wise to either minimize our time spent on them or eliminate them from our life entirely. We all should be focusing our time and energy trying to reach our goals, instead of wasting it on things that really doesn't help us get nearer to that dream.

Loving what we do will make as passionate. And to live passionately is a great way to live. If you already found what you love to do, do it passionately and great things will happen. Being passionate will fuel us with energy of enthusiasm, and people will notice that energy. In result, people with the same goals as us will be drawn to us and other people will be curious too.

Being obsessed will give us a more positive mindset. We won't be giving up on our dreams and goal that fast. We will be so determined that it is almost impossible to discourage us. We will consider failures as temporary, and we know we can get back on our feet ASAP. Being obsessed with a goal gives us no other options but to work on our dreams until we achieved it.

The word obsessed really gets a bad rap from most people, for them it means closer to being crazy. But we can look at it with a more positive light. Being obsessed means you are focused on you goal. Being obsessed means you know your priorities. Being obsessed means you should spend more time working for your goals. Being obsessed means you will not stop until you reach your goals. For traders being obsessed means getting rid of all the distractions, freeing up your time, and work on improving your trading system. It could also means getting our lazy ass up and do that research work, no excuses. So put in the work guys, don't be just like the other average traders out there. I invite you to be obsessed like me.

P.S: I just created a twitter account, let's connect there. Thanks

Sep 22, 2017

Post #32: Waterfront Philippines

Bought $WPI yesterday at P1.31 and I put my stop at below P1.20.

chart by www.bigharts.marketwatch.com

I am putting my stop tighter on this one as I consider this as a very speculative trade. I am trading solely on the price action; a tightening range and drying volume looks good to me.

Let's see how this one will go after a few days. If there's anything that will cause me any concern about this stock, I'll get out as fast as I can.

The index is looking great at above 8300 as of today. Let's see if it will confirm its breakout next week.

Portfolio:
$WLCON
$PRMX
$PGOLD
$WPI
$MEG (my sister's stock)

Cheers.

Sep 19, 2017

Post #31: PSEi 8300 and beyond?

The index showed some strength yesterday when it broke its previous high.

It looked like money is moving back to the blues.

Will some second liners take a backseat and let the blues in-charge?

Or will this rising tide float all the boats?

I got a lot of questions in my mind right now, but the only way to find out  is to wait and see.

Portfolio update:

$BLOOM
chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com

I sold my $BLOOM for a minimal profit when it started to show a downward trend right after Razon sold P3.5 billion worth of his shares in an overnight placement. When 11 Pesos broke, that's the last straw for me. Longer term, the added liquidity might prove to be good for the stock. But right now, I'll act based on what I see on the price action.

Current portfolio positions:

1. $WLCON
2. $PRMX
3. $PGOLD

Now, I  have some funds to look for a new stock. I might be able to enter a new position in a few days.

Note: My sister invested to me part of her savings. I bought $MEG for her, she is now up 10% with $MEG at P5.30. I didn't include this stock in my YTD portfolio performance as I consider this as not my part of my personal portfolio.






Sep 11, 2017

Post #30: Quick updates

Added two stocks in my portfolio.



Bought $PRMX at P5.40
Date: September 4, 2017

chart by www.bigharts.marketwatch.com

Bought $PGOLD at P48.30
Date: September 4, 2017

chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com



Portfolio: $PRMX, $PGOLD, $WLCON, $BLOOM