Showing posts with label STI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label STI. Show all posts

Nov 22, 2017

Post #42: Sold some, bought some

SOLD

I sold $MAC today at +40% gain.

I also sold my $STI at a very minimal profit (+2%??). This one has been consolidating for some time now, maybe it needs to go back to my watch-list for now.

BOUGHT

I bought some $ROCK today at P2.00. My stop will be placed at just below P1.90.

chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com
Also, bought a very small position on $PXP when it showed a sell-off late in the afternoon. Stop at below P10. Note: This is a speculation play with very small amount invested. 


Current portfolio:

$MEG
$EW
$ROCK
$PXP

Jul 4, 2017

Post #26: Lessons learned

They said that doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result is insanity. Learning from our mistakes is one of the most important component of our growth. We can read all the books we want on theories and what mistakes to avoid from other people's experience, but experiencing it ourselves is invaluable. I will narrate here some of the top mistakes I made when I was still new to trading the market, hoping that this will inspire self-reflection from other traders.

My trading PC a few years back :)


1. Not having a trading plan of my own

When I was really new to trading, I would buy stocks impulsively without any plans at all. If I saw any stocks trending on social media, I would get excited and will decide to try and maybe buy some of it.  I can't remember any of that trades ended of me getting substantial profits.

You can't rely on following other people's post on social media, most of them are posting stocks they already have positions in and they actually just want you to buy and help their stocks go up in price so they can sell it with a profit. I still see a lot of newbies joining many different groups in FB thinking that the more groups they join the more good tips or rumors they'll get. This is sadly not true, I believe that almost 95% of posts in social media are either people hyping up their positions or newbies trying their hands on TA or Fundamental analysis. Social media is the easiest place to get validations since we can get instant feedback through likes and comments; and some people get satisfaction from this.

The best thing to do is create your own trading plan. Make your own research and set a definite buy and sell plans for your trades. Create every possible scenario in your mind and make a definite action plan for every scenario to avoid surprises. This way, you'll be trading your own plans and not just become a pawn in other people's trading plans.

2. Over-trading

I used to trade like I need to earn some cash everyday. I felt like I need to take every opportunity I see or I will miss a possible profitable trade. This made me jump from one trade to another hoping to catch a good trade. 

I also trade a lot of stocks at once. Maybe I was thinking that the more stocks I buy, the more chances of me hitting that one lucky trade. I did get lucky once in a while, but mostly my losers will cancel out my gains or worst surpass it. 

My solution is to focus on a few good stocks, try to get significant volume on them and ride the big moves. Sure, you'll get some profits off quicker trades but they'll never be significant to affect your entire portfolio because it is difficult to get significant volume on a quick trade. My goal is too catch big moves with volume. Longer time-frames and getting significant volume results in bigger profits, at least in my experience.

3. Trading for excitement

I used to tell my friends that I love trading because it is exciting. The ups and down in my portfolio is actually parallel to the state of my own mood. I felt down when I am on a losing trade and I am euphoric when I'm profitable. The swing from one emotional low to another high is addictive, but it is not filling my bank account.

If you trade for excitement, stop immediately and reflect. I'm serious. The market is not the place to fulfill your needs for excitement. There are surely other adrenaline-producing activities one can do outside the market.

The easiest way to asses yourself is to ask yourself this questions:

Am I trading because it's cool and it excites me?

Are weekends boring to me because there is no trading?

Does my mood reflects my portfolio's gains or losses?

If you answered YES to any of that questions, your'e "probably" trading for excitement.

The easiest solution to this is to assess yourself and think deeply why  you are trading. It is normal for us humans to feel happy and sad in relation to a win or a loss but the most important thing is to identify your definite chief aim in trading. Was it to get excitement or was it to make money?

Don't treat the market as a hobby, hobbies don't give profits but instead it cost us money. Find excitement outside of trading; play sports or engage in some adrenaline-producing activities outside of trading. Emotions gets in the way of making rational decision in trading.

4. Over complicating my system

Iv'e studied almost all TA indicators used and Iv'e also read many books on FA. I used to believe that the more indicators I use, I can better fine tune my entries and exits flawlessly. I used to love matching indicators like MACD, RSI, Bollingers band, PSAR and Fibo retracement and many more hoping to find that perfect stock. Can you imagine how chaotic my charts looked like back then?  I now believe otherwise, as I am only using price action, volume and some little info about the stock's fundamentals.

In my opinion, most of the indicators are lagging and they are of little importance. Focus on a few indicators that works for you instead. Stick to one strategy and master that, instead of polluting your charts with many different confusing indicators.

5. Not doing self-evaluation

I used to trade blind; I have no goals and I am not assessing my progress. I don't even know if I am doing any progress at all or if my system is really working as I believe it is.

Without self-assessment, you won't know your mistakes; not recognizing those mistakes, won't give you any chances to correct them.

Review your system and study your past trades. What reoccurring mistakes are evident? How can you correct them?

Measure your progress. How's your performance compared to last month or last year? When you applied the changes in your system, did it affect your portfolio's performance? Are you satisfied with your progress? What improvements do you think are needed to enhance your results?

To improve, you have to continually measure your progress and make the necessary adjustments.


Conclusion

Studying past mistakes are vital to our success as traders. Experience is the best teacher, the lessons will last and stick to us longer than the knowledge we got from reading about other people's experience. These above are my own personal experiences and I encourage everyone to review and study their past mistakes too. You'll learn more studying your past mistakes than studying other people's mistakes. All it requires is an honest assessment of oneself.


Portfolio update:

Sold my $MEG last Friday with only 1.54% gain as my trailing stop was hit. 

Current positions $IMI (+103%), $WLCON (+46%), $STI (+27%)

Cheers

Alex


Jun 19, 2017

Post #25: My love story with $BEL and $STI...

Me with the love of my life


We all have love stories to tell. Some of our stories have happy endings, but others don't end the way we hoped them to be. Some gave us unforgettable heartaches but some also gave us good memories. What is important with all of these experiences are the lessons we learned from them. Trading is similar to dating, some stocks will break your heart, but some will make you happy. Some of the decisions you made you will surely regret, but the lessons will stick to you and make you a better trader.

This story is about what happened to me in $BEL and $STI. One seduced me twice but broke my heart in the end, the other made me happy once and is giving me another chance to be with her again.

I believe that a picture or a chart is still worth a thousand words.

Let me show you.

After two attempt to woe her, I finally decided to let $BEL go. It's clear to me, we are not meant to be, at least for now. Maybe someday..
chart by www.bigcharts.com

On the other hand, another stock is giving me a second chance at her. They said love is sweeter the second time around and hopefully $STI will prove it to me once again. I enjoy a good challenge and looks like she is up for a game.


chart by www.bigcharts.com


What lessons did I learn? I learned that you will make mistakes no matter how careful you are. And I also learned that it is okay to make mistakes, for mistakes will teach us valuable lessons. Finally, I also learned that mistakes should not discourage us in making new trades, take the challenge and try again and again until you find your happy ending. Never give up on love.

Port update:

$IMI +77%, $WLCON +28%, $STI +7%,$MEG +8%

Mar 7, 2017

Post#13: Trailing stops hit and some $BEL

Last March 1, 2017, my trailing stop on my position in $STI was hit and I sold my holdings for an average of P1.09/share and a gain of 21% since last November.  I was hoping to let my $STI run but a ranging PSEi made me tighten my stops s little. As always, I promised to follow my plan and I did it without hesitation.

I also sold my $DNL since it failed to maintain it's price above P13/share with a small percentage gain not even worth mentioning.

$DNL and $STI will remain in my watchlist for now again.

Although I felt bad losing my positions, I immediately looked for other stocks that show some strength. I am currently trading with only 50% of my port in positions as I dont like the general market condition.

March 3, 2017 - Bought some $BEL at P3.63/share.

March 6, 2017 - Added some more $BEL as I feel it going stronger at P3.72/share.

Average $BEL price is at P3.67/share.

Update: March 7, 2017 current position up 4.64% with $BEL at P3.88/share.

Initial stop at P3.65.


BELLE CORPORATION ($BEL)

stock chart provided by www.bigcharts.com


Feb 7, 2017

Post #12: Thoughts on mining stocks


Earlier this month, Philippine environment secretary Gina Lopez ordered the closure of 21 miners for violating mining and environmental laws.

Some of them are publicly listed in PSE and the news automatically made the price of the companies tumbling down.

I remember some of them being on my watch-list somewhere around November last year. See Fickle nickle: $FNI and $NIKL blog post.

I even mentioned $MARC in my January 13 post.

The main reason I included these stocks in my watch-list is that they are showing good price action set ups during that time. All three are actually on the brink of breaking out that time.

Later though, I removed them from my watch-list after they all showed signs of a failed breakout. A failed breakout is always a red flag for me, it will either go back to a range below the breakout point or it will start to show a lower low trend. Based on my experience, rarely does it go back to test the resistance again. 



All these charts are not shouting BUY to me.  

The mining sector was badly beaten, but there are still good stocks in that sector. I particularly like $PX's price action. 

I haven't posted here that much since I've done literally nothing, they are right when they said that stock investing is boring. I still have $STI and some $DNL in my portfolio. 

I also started trading the Stock Exchange of Thailand. It's a whole new and different market, in a way that it's more liquid and volatile. 

This blog will focus on my PSE trading though, so I wont be posting my Thailand stock market trades here. 

Cheers

Alex


Jan 13, 2017

Post #11: D&L Industries

$DNL
chart by www.bigcharts.com
The weekly chart of $DNL shows a perfect cup and handle formation. A breakout on this level, accompanied with good volume will trigger a buy for me.

This stock along with $STI will be my focus for now. The rest will stay at the watchlist.

$STI

chart by www.bigcharts.com
Moved my trailing stop on $STI at P1.00. I conclude that breakout is confirmed and P1.00 will be the new immediate support.

From hereon, I will do nothing but watch my stop and look for opportunity to add more position in case the trend continues to point upward.


Jan 8, 2017

Post #9: PSEi back at 7200+

The index closed at 7248 points yesterday. We're going to see if reversal is confirmed next week.

Portfolio: $STI closed at P1.05. Let's see if it will move its support at P1.00.





Watchlist: $MCP, $SMPH, $PX

These three are showing signs of breaking out. I particularly like the patterns that their prices are making.

Dec 16, 2016

Post # 8: MCP out

I was convince that $MCP broke its support at P4.00 that I took a small loss and closed my position.

I figured that I can always go back if things look interesting for me again.

I always try to respect my stops. Not doing so caused me great losses few years back.I will never make that mistake again.

chart by bigcharts.com


My position remains in $STI for now. I expected it to range inside the box (.90-1.00+) for a while. Although I do not like the direction of the general market, I'll give $STI more leeway for it showed itself to be resilient.



The index

I am seeing the index ranging between 6800 and 7000. Either a breakdown or a breakout of that range might be at the horizon now, and it will determine the direction that the index will take.

I am not really intending to add to my positions for now. I want the market to show me clear directions before committing any more funds. I will just watch the stop of my current position while waiting for a better market condition.



Dec 6, 2016

Post #7: Psei below 6800

The index is once again below 6800 and it is almost confirmed that it is going to continue showing us a lower low trend.

One reason I wasn't able to update this blog is the fact that I actually did nothing these past few weeks.

My port is still consist of $MCP and $STI, with the previous showing lackluster price action and the latter proving to be being resilient.

$MCP will still stay in my port as long as it stay above P4.00. $STI initial support will be P.90.

I'm not even following the market real-time right now, I'm just watching my stops from time to time.


Nov 17, 2016

Post #6: We are back above PSEi 7000

Philippine index closed at 7050 today, up 83.84 points from yesterday. I would prefer it that the index stays above 7000. I I'll be closely watching all my stops at this level.

$STI

chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com
Bought some STI today as it broke its resistance convincingly. Will closely watch price action the next few days and see if it stays above .80 cents.

$BLOOM


www.bigcharts.com
BLOOM seem to be finding it hard to break resistance. IMO, it need to break P7.00 convincingly to get my attention.

$NIKL

www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com

NIKL showing strength upon breakout. Will wait and see price action after this breakout before considering taking a position.

$MCP
chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com

MCP is showing a lackluster price action lately, but it stays in my port as long as it holds above P4.00. Price is tightening and volume is drying up, a good sign if you ask me.  Will give it a few more days before deciding on my next move.



Remarks: 

In port: STI,MCP

Watching closely: NIKL,LIHC,BLOOM

FNI - should break above P4.00 soon, support at P3.50.

Yellen hinted that an interest rate hike is inevitable, most probably by December.


Nov 2, 2016

Post #1: All soul's day

PSEi: on a clear downtrend, below SMA 200, major support PSEi 7000.

Chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com


Notes: World market is jittery on FOMC meeting Wednesday. November 8 U.S election between Hillary and Trump is also a concern.

Stocks in radar:

$MCP: ranging, support at P3.50, resistance approx 4.50 - showing strength despite overall market weakness.


Chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com


$STI: Breakout candidate, range - .70-.83, stock is resilient despite overall market weakness.

Chart by www.bigcharts.marketwatch.com

Remarks:

Watch overall market, minimize risk until market shows obvious direction.